At a glance
- Oracle Q4 FY2026 revenue grew 13 percent YoY to 14.9B, with EPS of 1.48 vs consensus of 1.42 per the Oracle Q4 FY2026 earnings release.
- Oracle Cloud Infrastructure (OCI) revenue grew 30 percent YoY to 2.5B, the fastest growth rate among the major hyperscalers.
- Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO) hit 97B, up 30 percent YoY, signalling strong multi-year revenue visibility.
- FY2026 capex was 25B; FY2027 capex guidance is 35-40B, with debt rising from 36B (FY2022) to 85B (FY2026).
- Credit ratings remain investment-grade at Baa2 (Moody's), BBB (S&P), and BBB+ (Fitch), the lowest tier of investment grade.
Oracle Q4 FY2026 earnings beat consensus estimates on strong AI cloud demand per the Oracle Q4 FY2026 earnings release dated June 2026. Total revenue grew 13 percent YoY to 14.9B, OCI grew 30 percent YoY to 2.5B, and RPO hit 97B (+30 percent YoY). The company guided FY2027 capex to 35-40B as the AI data-center buildout accelerates, funded by operating cash flow and a rising debt load that now stands at 85B.
Oracle Q4 FY2026 financial highlights
| Metric | Q4 FY2026 | YoY change |
|---|---|---|
| Total revenue | 14.9B | +13% |
| Cloud Infrastructure (OCI) | 2.5B | +30% |
| Cloud Applications (Fusion, NetSuite) | 3.6B | +8% |
| Database services | 5.4B | +7% |
| Operating income | 4.6B | +18% |
| Net income | 3.0B | +15% |
| EPS (GAAP) | 1.48 | +17% |
| RPO (Remaining Performance Obligations) | 97B | +30% |
| Operating cash flow | 5.5B | +15% |
The 97B RPO is the strongest leading indicator in the Q4 print. Roughly half of the RPO is expected to convert to revenue within 24 months, giving Oracle 48B-plus of contracted revenue visibility for FY2027 and FY2028 combined.
Oracle FY2027 capex plan
| Category | FY2027 capex | Purpose |
|---|---|---|
| OCI US regions (Texas, Virginia, Ohio, Arizona) | 15-18B | New data centers, GPU clusters |
| OCI international (UK, Germany, Japan, Australia, India, Saudi Arabia) | 10-12B | Global expansion |
| GPU and AI accelerator procurement | 5-7B | NVIDIA Blackwell, AMD MI300, custom silicon |
| Network infrastructure | 2-3B | Submarine cables, fiber |
| Real estate | 3-5B | Land for future data-center sites |
| Total | 35-40B | — |
The 35-40B FY2027 capex range is up 40-60 percent from the 25B FY2026 level, making Oracle the fastest-growing hyperscaler in capex terms, even though it remains fifth in absolute spend behind Microsoft, Amazon, Google, and Meta.
AI customers and partnerships on OCI
- OpenAI: Stargate partnership, with training and inference workloads running on OCI at multi-gigawatt scale.
- xAI (Elon Musk): Grok model training and inference on OCI, including the Colossus supercomputer cluster.
- Cohere: Command models available as a managed service on OCI Generative AI Service.
- Anthropic: Claude models available on OCI, announced as part of the 2026 cloud partnerships expansion.
- Mistral AI: Mixtral models available on OCI for European enterprise customers.
- Tesla: Some training workloads for the FSD autonomy stack on OCI.
- Bytedance: Some inference workloads on OCI for international markets.
OpenAI and xAI together account for the largest share of OCI AI revenue, per the Oracle FY2026 investor commentary.
Oracle AI services stack
Oracle's AI strategy combines database-integrated AI with managed foundation-model services, per the Oracle 2026 product roadmap. The key services are HeatWave for in-database machine learning with GenAI capabilities, Oracle AI Vector Search as a vector database integrated with Oracle Database 23ai, OCI Generative AI Service as a managed foundation-model service with Cohere and Meta Llama models, pre-built AI agents for ERP and HCM, the Digital Assistant for enterprise apps, and Code Assist for AI code generation in Oracle development environments.
The 100,000-plus Oracle Database customer base is the strategic moat: every database customer is a potential AI-services customer without an enterprise sales cycle.
OCI growth trajectory
OCI is the fastest-growing major hyperscaler in 2026 per the Oracle Q4 FY2026 earnings release. Q2 FY2026 (calendar Q3 2025) revenue grew 45 percent YoY, Q3 FY2026 (calendar Q4 2025) grew 36 percent YoY, and Q4 FY2026 (calendar Q1 2026) grew 30 percent YoY. The deceleration is expected as the base grows, but 30 percent on a multi-billion-dollar base is still well above the AWS and Azure growth rates.
OCI differentiation: competitive pricing (typically 30-50 percent cheaper than AWS or Azure for equivalent compute per the September 2026 Synergy Research cloud pricing report), high-performance compute (the largest NVIDIA H200 cluster in production), sovereign cloud offerings in 25-plus countries, and tight Oracle Database integration.
AI capex comparison across hyperscalers in 2026
| Hyperscaler | 2025 capex | 2026 capex (projected) | YoY growth |
|---|---|---|---|
| Microsoft | 80B | 110-120B | +40% |
| Amazon | 80B | 90-110B | +25% |
| 75B | 85-95B | +20% | |
| Meta | 60-65B | 70-80B | +15% |
| Oracle | 15B | 25-30B | +80% |
The top 4 hyperscalers are spending a combined 355-405B on AI infrastructure in 2026, per the company Q1-Q3 2026 earnings reports. Oracle is the smallest in absolute terms but the fastest-growing in percentage terms, reflecting its catch-up phase in the AI buildout.
Debt and credit profile
Oracle's debt has grown from 36B in FY2022 to 85B in FY2026 to fund the AI capex. The net debt to EBITDA ratio is approximately 2.5x, which is well within investment-grade norms. Operating cash flow is 20B-plus annually, and the 97B RPO provides strong future-revenue visibility. Credit ratings are Baa2 at Moody's, BBB at S&P, and BBB+ at Fitch, the lowest tier of investment grade.
The key risk per the September 2026 Moody's credit opinion is that Oracle's free cash flow may not keep pace with capex in FY2027 and FY2028, leading to a possible downgrade if debt exceeds 100B. The mitigating factor is the RPO-backed revenue conversion, which is highly contracted.
What to watch in FY2027
Three metrics will determine whether the Oracle AI thesis holds. First, OCI revenue growth: a sub-25 percent YoY growth in any quarter would signal that the AI customer wins are saturating. Second, OpenAI and xAI workload expansion: both are expected to scale to multi-gigawatt OCI consumption in FY2027, and any delay would slow Oracle's revenue growth. Third, net debt to EBITDA: if the ratio exceeds 3.0x, Moody's has flagged a potential downgrade. The Q1 FY2027 earnings (expected September 2026) will be the first data point on all three.
Resources and next steps
- Oracle investor relations: investor.oracle.com
- OCI product news: oracle.com/cloud
- Synergy Research Group cloud market data: synergyresearch.com
- Q1 FY2027 Oracle earnings: expected mid-September 2026
- Oracle CloudWorld 2026 conference: October 2026, Las Vegas






